Match Analysis

NicevsParis Saint-Germain

FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

34%
23%
43%
Nice winDrawParis Saint-Germain win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game2.60
1.93Avg goals scored2.38
1.16Avg goals conceded0.78
3–1–1Record (W–D–L)4–1–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.5

Nice xG

Expected goals

1.7

Paris Saint-Germain xG

63%

Both Teams to Score

62%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

10%

1–2

9%

2–1

8%

0–1

7%

2–2

7%

0–2

6%

Home

Nice

Nice

DWWLW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.9 / 1.2

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

Paris Saint-Germain

Paris Saint-Germain

DWWWW

PPG

2.60

Avg goals

2.4 / 0.8

Last 5

4W 1D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Nice vs Paris Saint-Germain?

Paris Saint-Germain is favored with a 43% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Nice's current form?

Nice have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 63%. Over 2.5 goals: 62%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 10 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Nice Win34%
Draw23%
Paris Saint-Germain Win43%
BTTS63%
Over 2.562%