Match Analysis

NicevsTroyes

FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

57%
22%
21%
Nice winDrawTroyes win

Key Stats

2.40Points per game0.80
1.91Avg goals scored0.79
1.41Avg goals conceded1.56
4–0–1Record (W–D–L)1–1–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2

Nice xG

Expected goals

1.1

Troyes xG

58%

Both Teams to Score

60%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

10%

2–1

10%

1–0

9%

2–0

9%

3–1

7%

3–0

6%

Home

Nice

Nice

WWLWW

PPG

2.40

Avg goals

1.9 / 1.4

Last 5

4W 0D 1L

Away

Troyes

Troyes

WDLLL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

0.8 / 1.6

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Nice vs Troyes?

Nice is favored with a 57% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Nice's current form?

Nice have recorded 4W 0D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 58%. Over 2.5 goals: 60%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 9 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Nice Win57%
Draw22%
Troyes Win21%
BTTS58%
Over 2.560%