Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.1
Paris FC xG
Expected goals
1.1
Le Mans xG
59%
Both Teams to Score
62%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2–1
10%
1–0
9%
1–1
9%
2–0
9%
3–1
7%
3–0
6%
Home
Paris FC
PPG
1.80
Avg goals
1.8 / 1.1
Last 5
3W 0D 2L
Away
Le Mans
PPG
0.40
Avg goals
1.0 / 1.8
Last 5
0W 2D 3L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Paris FC vs Le Mans?
Paris FC is favored with a 61% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Paris FC's current form?
Paris FC have recorded 3W 0D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.1.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 59%. Over 2.5 goals: 62%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 10 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
More from Ligue 1