Match Analysis

Paris FCvsLe Mans

FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

61%
21%
18%
Paris FC winDrawLe Mans win

Key Stats

1.80Points per game0.40
1.76Avg goals scored0.97
1.10Avg goals conceded1.83
3–0–2Record (W–D–L)0–2–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.1

Paris FC xG

Expected goals

1.1

Le Mans xG

59%

Both Teams to Score

62%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–1

10%

1–0

9%

1–1

9%

2–0

9%

3–1

7%

3–0

6%

Home

Paris FC

Paris FC

WWLWL

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

1.8 / 1.1

Last 5

3W 0D 2L

Away

Le Mans

Le Mans

DLDLL

PPG

0.40

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.8

Last 5

0W 2D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Paris FC vs Le Mans?

Paris FC is favored with a 61% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Paris FC's current form?

Paris FC have recorded 3W 0D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 59%. Over 2.5 goals: 62%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 10 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Paris FC Win61%
Draw21%
Le Mans Win18%
BTTS59%
Over 2.562%