Match Analysis

Stade RennaisvsAJ Auxerre

FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

58%
18%
24%
Stade Rennais winDrawAJ Auxerre win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game0.80
2.14Avg goals scored1.20
2.27Avg goals conceded2.29
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)1–1–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.7

Stade Rennais xG

Expected goals

1.7

AJ Auxerre xG

76%

Both Teams to Score

81%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–1

8%

3–1

7%

1–1

6%

2–2

6%

3–2

6%

1–2

5%

Home

Stade Rennais

Stade Rennais

LDLWD

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

2.1 / 2.3

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

AJ Auxerre

AJ Auxerre

LLDWL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.2 / 2.3

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Stade Rennais vs AJ Auxerre?

Stade Rennais is favored with a 58% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Stade Rennais's current form?

Stade Rennais have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.7.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 76%. Over 2.5 goals: 81%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 10 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Stade Rennais Win58%
Draw18%
AJ Auxerre Win24%
BTTS76%
Over 2.581%