Match Analysis

Stade RennaisvsLille

FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

33%
23%
44%
Stade Rennais winDrawLille win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game1.60
2.14Avg goals scored1.35
2.27Avg goals conceded0.70
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.5

Stade Rennais xG

Expected goals

1.8

Lille xG

65%

Both Teams to Score

64%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

10%

1–2

9%

0–1

7%

2–1

7%

2–2

7%

0–2

6%

Home

Stade Rennais

Stade Rennais

LDLWD

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

2.1 / 2.3

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Lille

Lille

WDWDL

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.3 / 0.7

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Stade Rennais vs Lille?

Lille is favored with a 44% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Stade Rennais's current form?

Stade Rennais have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 65%. Over 2.5 goals: 64%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 10 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Stade Rennais Win33%
Draw23%
Lille Win44%
BTTS65%
Over 2.564%