โšก Match Analysis

Stade Rennais vs Marseille

๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท Ligue 1 ยท Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

41%
17%
42%
Stade Rennais winDrawMarseille win

Key Stats

1.80Points per game1.40
1.92Avg goals scored1.37
1.82Avg goals conceded1.28
3โ€“0โ€“2Record (Wโ€“Dโ€“L)2โ€“1โ€“2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.9

Stade Rennais xG

Expected goals

1.7

Marseille xG

70%

Both Teams to Score

70%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1โ€“1

9%

1โ€“2

8%

2โ€“1

8%

2โ€“2

7%

0โ€“1

5%

1โ€“0

5%

Home

Stade Rennais

Stade Rennais

LWLWW

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

1.9 / 1.8

Last 5

3W 0D 2L

Away

Marseille

Marseille

WWLDL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.4 / 1.3

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head ยท Last 6 meetings

Stade Rennaisall timeMarseille
2W
4W
17 May 26
Marseille3โ€“1Stade Rennais
15 Aug 25
Stade Rennais1โ€“0Marseille
17 May 25
Marseille4โ€“2Stade Rennais
11 Jan 25
Stade Rennais1โ€“2Marseille
17 Mar 24
Stade Rennais2โ€“0Marseille
3 Dec 23
Marseille2โ€“0Stade Rennais

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Stade Rennais vs Marseille?

Marseille is favored with a 42% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Stade Rennais's current form?

Stade Rennais have recorded 3W 0D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.9.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 6 Ligue 1 meetings, Stade Rennais won 2, drew 0, and Marseille won 4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1โ€“1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 70%. Over 2.5 goals: 70%.

โšก Poisson model ยท attack & defense ratings ยท last 5 matches ยท H2H 6 meetings ยท home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Your Prediction

Pick a winner

Leaderboard โ†’

Match Odds

Stade Rennais Win41%
Draw17%
Marseille Win42%
BTTS70%
Over 2.570%

Find prediction markets โ†’

Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi

๐Ÿ“Š