Match Analysis

StrasbourgvsAJ Auxerre

FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

54%
19%
27%
Strasbourg winDrawAJ Auxerre win

Key Stats

0.60Points per game0.80
1.80Avg goals scored1.20
2.25Avg goals conceded2.29
1–0–4Record (W–D–L)1–1–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.4

Strasbourg xG

Expected goals

1.7

AJ Auxerre xG

74%

Both Teams to Score

78%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–1

8%

1–1

7%

2–2

7%

1–2

6%

3–1

6%

3–2

6%

Home

Strasbourg

Strasbourg

LWLLL

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

1.8 / 2.2

Last 5

1W 0D 4L

Away

AJ Auxerre

AJ Auxerre

LLDWL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.2 / 2.3

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Strasbourg vs AJ Auxerre?

Strasbourg is favored with a 54% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Strasbourg's current form?

Strasbourg have recorded 1W 0D 4L in their last 5 matches (0.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 74%. Over 2.5 goals: 78%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 10 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Strasbourg Win54%
Draw19%
AJ Auxerre Win27%
BTTS74%
Over 2.578%