Match Analysis

StrasbourgvsLorient

FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

40%
25%
35%
Strasbourg winDrawLorient win

Key Stats

0.60Points per game1.40
1.79Avg goals scored0.67
2.25Avg goals conceded0.86
1–0–4Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.5

Strasbourg xG

Expected goals

1.4

Lorient xG

59%

Both Teams to Score

55%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

12%

2–1

9%

0–1

8%

1–0

8%

1–2

8%

0–0

6%

Home

Strasbourg

Strasbourg

LWLLL

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

1.8 / 2.2

Last 5

1W 0D 4L

Away

Lorient

Lorient

LDWWL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

0.7 / 0.9

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Strasbourg vs Lorient?

Strasbourg is favored with a 40% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Strasbourg's current form?

Strasbourg have recorded 1W 0D 4L in their last 5 matches (0.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 59%. Over 2.5 goals: 55%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 10 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Strasbourg Win40%
Draw25%
Lorient Win35%
BTTS59%
Over 2.555%