Match Analysis

ToulousevsStrasbourg

FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

53%
20%
27%
Toulouse winDrawStrasbourg win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game0.60
1.56Avg goals scored1.80
1.25Avg goals conceded2.25
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)1–0–4

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.2

Toulouse xG

Expected goals

1.5

Strasbourg xG

69%

Both Teams to Score

71%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–1

9%

1–1

8%

2–2

7%

3–1

7%

1–2

6%

2–0

6%

Home

Toulouse

Toulouse

WLDWD

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.6 / 1.3

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Strasbourg

Strasbourg

LWLLL

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

1.8 / 2.2

Last 5

1W 0D 4L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Toulouse vs Strasbourg?

Toulouse is favored with a 53% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Toulouse's current form?

Toulouse have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 69%. Over 2.5 goals: 71%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 10 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Toulouse Win53%
Draw20%
Strasbourg Win27%
BTTS69%
Over 2.571%