Match Analysis

ToulousevsTroyes

FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

55%
24%
21%
Toulouse winDrawTroyes win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game1.00
1.56Avg goals scored0.66
1.25Avg goals conceded1.46
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.7

Toulouse xG

Expected goals

1

Troyes xG

52%

Both Teams to Score

51%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–0

11%

1–1

11%

2–0

10%

2–1

10%

0–0

7%

0–1

7%

Home

Toulouse

Toulouse

WLDWD

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.6 / 1.3

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Troyes

Troyes

DWDLL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

0.7 / 1.5

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Toulouse vs Troyes?

Toulouse is favored with a 55% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Toulouse's current form?

Toulouse have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.7.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 52%. Over 2.5 goals: 51%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 10 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Toulouse Win55%
Draw24%
Troyes Win21%
BTTS52%
Over 2.551%