Match Analysis

TroyesvsLens

FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

30%
25%
45%
Troyes winDrawLens win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game0.60
0.66Avg goals scored1.54
1.46Avg goals conceded1.42
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)1–0–4

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.2

Troyes xG

Expected goals

1.5

Lens xG

54%

Both Teams to Score

51%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

12%

0–1

10%

1–2

9%

0–2

8%

1–0

8%

0–0

7%

Home

Troyes

Troyes

DWDLL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

0.7 / 1.5

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Lens

Lens

LLLWL

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

1.5 / 1.4

Last 5

1W 0D 4L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Troyes vs Lens?

Lens is favored with a 45% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Troyes's current form?

Troyes have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 54%. Over 2.5 goals: 51%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 10 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Troyes Win30%
Draw25%
Lens Win45%
BTTS54%
Over 2.551%