Match Analysis

TroyesvsMarseille

FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

23%
22%
55%
Troyes winDrawMarseille win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game2.40
0.66Avg goals scored2.42
1.46Avg goals conceded1.34
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)4–0–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.2

Troyes xG

Expected goals

1.9

Marseille xG

59%

Both Teams to Score

60%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

10%

1–2

10%

0–1

9%

0–2

8%

1–3

6%

2–1

6%

Home

Troyes

Troyes

DWDLL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

0.7 / 1.5

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Marseille

Marseille

WWWWL

PPG

2.40

Avg goals

2.4 / 1.3

Last 5

4W 0D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Troyes vs Marseille?

Marseille is favored with a 55% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Troyes's current form?

Troyes have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 59%. Over 2.5 goals: 60%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 10 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Troyes Win23%
Draw22%
Marseille Win55%
BTTS59%
Over 2.560%