Match Analysis

TroyesvsStade Rennais

FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

34%
23%
43%
Troyes winDrawStade Rennais win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game1.00
0.66Avg goals scored2.14
1.46Avg goals conceded2.27
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.6

Troyes xG

Expected goals

1.8

Stade Rennais xG

67%

Both Teams to Score

66%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

10%

1–2

9%

2–1

8%

2–2

7%

0–1

6%

0–2

5%

Home

Troyes

Troyes

DWDLL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

0.7 / 1.5

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Stade Rennais

Stade Rennais

LDLWD

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

2.1 / 2.3

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Troyes vs Stade Rennais?

Stade Rennais is favored with a 43% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Troyes's current form?

Troyes have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.6.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 67%. Over 2.5 goals: 66%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 10 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Troyes Win34%
Draw23%
Stade Rennais Win43%
BTTS67%
Over 2.566%