Match Analysis

AFC BournemouthvsLeeds United

ENG Premier League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

47%
26%
27%
AFC Bournemouth winDrawLeeds United win

Key Stats

2.60Points per game1.00
1.78Avg goals scored0.84
1.19Avg goals conceded0.83
4–1–0Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.4

AFC Bournemouth xG

Expected goals

1

Leeds United xG

48%

Both Teams to Score

43%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–0

13%

1–1

13%

0–0

9%

0–1

9%

2–0

9%

2–1

9%

Home

AFC Bournemouth

AFC Bournemouth

DWWWW

PPG

2.60

Avg goals

1.8 / 1.2

Last 5

4W 1D 0L

Away

Leeds United

Leeds United

WLDDL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

0.8 / 0.8

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win AFC Bournemouth vs Leeds United?

AFC Bournemouth is favored with a 47% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is AFC Bournemouth's current form?

AFC Bournemouth have recorded 4W 1D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 48%. Over 2.5 goals: 43%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 10 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

AFC Bournemouth Win47%
Draw26%
Leeds United Win27%
BTTS48%
Over 2.543%