Match Analysis

ArsenalvsAFC Bournemouth

ENG Premier League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

48%
26%
26%
Arsenal winDrawAFC Bournemouth win

Key Stats

2.40Points per game2.60
1.39Avg goals scored1.78
0.40Avg goals conceded1.19
4–0–1Record (W–D–L)4–1–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.5

Arsenal xG

Expected goals

1

AFC Bournemouth xG

49%

Both Teams to Score

46%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–0

12%

1–1

12%

2–0

9%

2–1

9%

0–0

8%

0–1

8%

Home

Arsenal

Arsenal

WWWLW

PPG

2.40

Avg goals

1.4 / 0.4

Last 5

4W 0D 1L

Away

AFC Bournemouth

AFC Bournemouth

DWWWW

PPG

2.60

Avg goals

1.8 / 1.2

Last 5

4W 1D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Arsenal vs AFC Bournemouth?

Arsenal is favored with a 48% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Arsenal's current form?

Arsenal have recorded 4W 0D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 49%. Over 2.5 goals: 46%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 10 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Arsenal Win48%
Draw26%
AFC Bournemouth Win26%
BTTS49%
Over 2.546%