Match Analysis

ArsenalvsBrentford

ENG Premier League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

51%
26%
23%
Arsenal winDrawBrentford win

Key Stats

2.40Points per game1.00
1.39Avg goals scored1.40
0.40Avg goals conceded1.20
4–0–1Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.5

Arsenal xG

Expected goals

0.9

Brentford xG

46%

Both Teams to Score

43%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–0

14%

1–1

12%

2–0

10%

0–0

9%

2–1

9%

0–1

8%

Home

Arsenal

Arsenal

WWWLW

PPG

2.40

Avg goals

1.4 / 0.4

Last 5

4W 0D 1L

Away

Brentford

Brentford

DWLDL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.4 / 1.2

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Arsenal vs Brentford?

Arsenal is favored with a 51% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Arsenal's current form?

Arsenal have recorded 4W 0D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (14% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 46%. Over 2.5 goals: 43%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 10 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Arsenal Win51%
Draw26%
Brentford Win23%
BTTS46%
Over 2.543%