Arsenal vs Chelsea
๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ Premier League ยท Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.3
Arsenal xG
Expected goals
0.4
Chelsea xG
30%
Both Teams to Score
51%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2โ0
18%
1โ0
15%
3โ0
14%
4โ0
8%
0โ0
7%
2โ1
7%
Home
Arsenal
PPG
2.40
Avg goals
1.5 / 0.6
Last 5
4W 0D 1L
Away
Chelsea
PPG
0.80
Avg goals
0.9 / 1.9
Last 5
1W 1D 3L
Head-to-Head ยท Last 6 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Arsenal vs Chelsea?
Arsenal is favored with a 73% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Arsenal's current form?
Arsenal have recorded 4W 0D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.3.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 6 Premier League meetings, Arsenal won 3, drew 3, and Chelsea won 0.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2โ0 (18% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 30%. Over 2.5 goals: 51%.
โก Poisson model ยท attack & defense ratings ยท last 5 matches ยท H2H 6 meetings ยท home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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