Match Analysis

Aston VillavsFulham

ENG Premier League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

43%
25%
32%
Aston Villa winDrawFulham win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game1.60
1.76Avg goals scored0.99
1.74Avg goals conceded1.00
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.6

Aston Villa xG

Expected goals

1.3

Fulham xG

58%

Both Teams to Score

55%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

11%

1–0

9%

2–1

9%

0–1

7%

1–2

7%

2–0

7%

Home

Aston Villa

Aston Villa

DLDLW

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.8 / 1.7

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Fulham

Fulham

DDLWW

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.0

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Aston Villa vs Fulham?

Aston Villa is favored with a 43% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Aston Villa's current form?

Aston Villa have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.6.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 58%. Over 2.5 goals: 55%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 10 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Aston Villa Win43%
Draw25%
Fulham Win32%
BTTS58%
Over 2.555%