โšก Match Analysis

Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest

๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ Premier League ยท Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

35%
18%
47%
Aston Villa winDrawNottingham Forest win

Key Stats

2.60Points per game1.00
2.08Avg goals scored2.27
1.69Avg goals conceded1.23
4โ€“1โ€“0Record (Wโ€“Dโ€“L)1โ€“2โ€“2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.1

Aston Villa xG

Expected goals

2.7

Nottingham Forest xG

82%

Both Teams to Score

86%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2โ€“2

7%

1โ€“2

6%

1โ€“3

6%

2โ€“3

6%

1โ€“1

5%

2โ€“1

5%

Home

Aston Villa

Aston Villa

WWWDW

PPG

2.60

Avg goals

2.1 / 1.7

Last 5

4W 1D 0L

Away

Nottingham Forest

Nottingham Forest

DLDLW

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

2.3 / 1.2

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head ยท Last 6 meetings

Aston Villaall timeNottingham Forest
3W
1D
2W
12 Apr 26
Nottingham Forest1โ€“1Aston Villa
3 Jan 26
Aston Villa3โ€“1Nottingham Forest
5 Apr 25
Aston Villa2โ€“1Nottingham Forest
14 Dec 24
Nottingham Forest2โ€“1Aston Villa
24 Feb 24
Aston Villa4โ€“2Nottingham Forest
5 Nov 23
Nottingham Forest2โ€“0Aston Villa

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest?

Nottingham Forest is favored with a 47% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Aston Villa's current form?

Aston Villa have recorded 4W 1D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.1.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 6 Premier League meetings, Aston Villa won 3, drew 1, and Nottingham Forest won 2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2โ€“2 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 82%. Over 2.5 goals: 86%.

โšก Poisson model ยท attack & defense ratings ยท last 5 matches ยท H2H 6 meetings ยท home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

Aston Villa Win35%
Draw18%
Nottingham Forest Win47%
BTTS82%
Over 2.586%

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Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi

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