Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1
Brentford xG
Expected goals
1.3
Arsenal xG
46%
Both Teams to Score
40%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–1
13%
1–1
13%
0–0
10%
1–0
10%
0–2
8%
1–2
8%
Home
Brentford
PPG
1.00
Avg goals
1.4 / 1.2
Last 5
1W 2D 2L
Away
Arsenal
PPG
2.40
Avg goals
1.4 / 0.4
Last 5
4W 0D 1L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Brentford vs Arsenal?
Arsenal is favored with a 43% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Brentford's current form?
Brentford have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 46%. Over 2.5 goals: 40%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 10 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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