Match Analysis

BrentfordvsNewcastle United

ENG Premier League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

49%
24%
27%
Brentford winDrawNewcastle United win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game0.80
1.40Avg goals scored1.09
1.19Avg goals conceded1.46
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)1–1–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.6

Brentford xG

Expected goals

1.2

Newcastle United xG

56%

Both Teams to Score

53%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

12%

1–0

10%

2–1

9%

2–0

8%

0–1

7%

1–2

7%

Home

Brentford

Brentford

DWLDL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.4 / 1.2

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Newcastle United

Newcastle United

DLLWL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.1 / 1.5

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Brentford vs Newcastle United?

Brentford is favored with a 49% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Brentford's current form?

Brentford have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.6.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 56%. Over 2.5 goals: 53%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 10 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Brentford Win49%
Draw24%
Newcastle United Win27%
BTTS56%
Over 2.553%