โšก Match Analysis

Brentford vs Sunderland

๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ Premier League ยท Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

42%
19%
39%
Brentford winDrawSunderland win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game1.60
1.29Avg goals scored1.50
1.46Avg goals conceded1.56
1โ€“2โ€“2Record (Wโ€“Dโ€“L)2โ€“2โ€“1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.6

Brentford xG

Expected goals

1.6

Sunderland xG

64%

Both Teams to Score

62%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1โ€“1

10%

1โ€“2

8%

2โ€“1

8%

0โ€“1

7%

1โ€“0

7%

2โ€“2

7%

Home

Brentford

Brentford

DDLWL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.3 / 1.5

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Sunderland

Sunderland

WWDDL

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.5 / 1.6

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head ยท Last 2 meetings

Brentfordall timeSunderland
1W
1W
7 Jan 26
Brentford3โ€“0Sunderland
30 Aug 25
Sunderland2โ€“1Brentford

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Brentford vs Sunderland?

Brentford is favored with a 42% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Brentford's current form?

Brentford have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.6.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 2 Premier League meetings, Brentford won 1, drew 0, and Sunderland won 1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1โ€“1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 64%. Over 2.5 goals: 62%.

โšก Poisson model ยท attack & defense ratings ยท last 5 matches ยท limited H2H (2 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Your Prediction

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Match Odds

Brentford Win42%
Draw19%
Sunderland Win39%
BTTS64%
Over 2.562%

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Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi

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