โšก Match Analysis

Brighton Hove Albion vs Aston Villa

๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ Premier League ยท Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

36%
21%
43%
Brighton & Hove Albion winDrawAston Villa win

Key Stats

1.20Points per game2.60
1.37Avg goals scored2.08
1.42Avg goals conceded1.69
2โ€“0โ€“3Record (Wโ€“Dโ€“L)4โ€“1โ€“0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.9

Brighton & Hove Albion xG

Expected goals

2.1

Aston Villa xG

75%

Both Teams to Score

76%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1โ€“2

8%

1โ€“1

7%

2โ€“1

7%

2โ€“2

7%

1โ€“3

5%

2โ€“3

5%

Home

Brighton & Hove Albion

Brighton & Hove Albion

LLWLW

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.4 / 1.4

Last 5

2W 0D 3L

Away

Aston Villa

Aston Villa

WWWDW

PPG

2.60

Avg goals

2.1 / 1.7

Last 5

4W 1D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Brighton Hove Albion vs Aston Villa?

Aston Villa is favored with a 43% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Brighton Hove Albion's current form?

Brighton Hove Albion have recorded 2W 0D 3L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.9.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1โ€“2 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 75%. Over 2.5 goals: 76%.

โšก Poisson model ยท attack & defense ratings ยท last 5 matches ยท limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Your Prediction

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Match Odds

Brighton & Hove Albion Win36%
Draw21%
Aston Villa Win43%
BTTS75%
Over 2.576%

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Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi

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