Brighton & Hove Albionvs
Newcastle United
ENG Premier League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.2
Brighton & Hove Albion xG
Expected goals
0.9
Newcastle United xG
53%
Both Teams to Score
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2–0
11%
1–0
10%
2–1
10%
1–1
9%
3–0
8%
3–1
7%
Home
Brighton & Hove Albion
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
2.3 / 0.6
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Away
Newcastle United
PPG
0.80
Avg goals
1.1 / 1.5
Last 5
1W 1D 3L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Brighton & Hove Albion vs Newcastle United?
Brighton & Hove Albion is favored with a 67% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Brighton & Hove Albion's current form?
Brighton & Hove Albion have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.2.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 53%. Over 2.5 goals: 60%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 10 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
More from Premier League