Match Analysis

ChelseavsAFC Bournemouth

ENG Premier League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

40%
24%
36%
Chelsea winDrawAFC Bournemouth win

Key Stats

1.20Points per game2.60
1.64Avg goals scored1.78
1.30Avg goals conceded1.19
2–0–3Record (W–D–L)4–1–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.6

Chelsea xG

Expected goals

1.5

AFC Bournemouth xG

62%

Both Teams to Score

60%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

11%

2–1

9%

1–2

8%

0–1

7%

1–0

7%

2–0

6%

Home

Chelsea

Chelsea

LWLLW

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.6 / 1.3

Last 5

2W 0D 3L

Away

AFC Bournemouth

AFC Bournemouth

DWWWW

PPG

2.60

Avg goals

1.8 / 1.2

Last 5

4W 1D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Chelsea vs AFC Bournemouth?

Chelsea is favored with a 40% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Chelsea's current form?

Chelsea have recorded 2W 0D 3L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.6.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 62%. Over 2.5 goals: 60%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 10 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Chelsea Win40%
Draw24%
AFC Bournemouth Win36%
BTTS62%
Over 2.560%