โšก Match Analysis

Chelsea vs Brighton Hove Albion

๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ Premier League ยท Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

20%
22%
58%
Chelsea winDrawBrighton & Hove Albion win

Key Stats

0.80Points per game1.20
0.86Avg goals scored1.37
1.91Avg goals conceded1.42
1โ€“1โ€“3Record (Wโ€“Dโ€“L)2โ€“0โ€“3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1

Chelsea xG

Expected goals

1.9

Brighton & Hove Albion xG

54%

Both Teams to Score

55%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0โ€“1

10%

0โ€“2

10%

1โ€“1

10%

1โ€“2

10%

0โ€“0

6%

0โ€“3

6%

Home

Chelsea

Chelsea

LWLDL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

0.9 / 1.9

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Away

Brighton & Hove Albion

Brighton & Hove Albion

LLWLW

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.4 / 1.4

Last 5

2W 0D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Chelsea vs Brighton Hove Albion?

Brighton & Hove Albion is favored with a 58% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Chelsea's current form?

Chelsea have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0โ€“1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 54%. Over 2.5 goals: 55%.

โšก Poisson model ยท attack & defense ratings ยท last 5 matches ยท limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Your Prediction

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Match Odds

Chelsea Win20%
Draw22%
Brighton & Hove Albion Win58%
BTTS54%
Over 2.555%

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Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi

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