Chelseavs
Manchester United
ENG Premier League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.2
Chelsea xG
Expected goals
1.4
Manchester United xG
67%
Both Teams to Score
70%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2–1
9%
1–1
8%
2–0
7%
3–1
7%
1–0
6%
1–2
6%
Home
Chelsea
PPG
1.20
Avg goals
1.6 / 1.3
Last 5
2W 0D 3L
Away
Manchester United
PPG
0.80
Avg goals
1.4 / 2.1
Last 5
1W 1D 3L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Chelsea vs Manchester United?
Chelsea is favored with a 57% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Chelsea's current form?
Chelsea have recorded 2W 0D 3L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.2.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 67%. Over 2.5 goals: 70%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 10 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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