Match Analysis

Crystal PalacevsArsenal

ENG Premier League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

15%
21%
64%
Crystal Palace winDrawArsenal win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game2.40
0.87Avg goals scored1.39
2.45Avg goals conceded0.40
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)4–0–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.8

Crystal Palace xG

Expected goals

1.9

Arsenal xG

47%

Both Teams to Score

51%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–1

13%

0–2

12%

1–1

10%

1–2

10%

0–3

8%

0–0

7%

Home

Crystal Palace

Crystal Palace

DDLWL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

0.9 / 2.5

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Arsenal

Arsenal

WWWLW

PPG

2.40

Avg goals

1.4 / 0.4

Last 5

4W 0D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Crystal Palace vs Arsenal?

Arsenal is favored with a 64% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Crystal Palace's current form?

Crystal Palace have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.8.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 47%. Over 2.5 goals: 51%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 10 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Crystal Palace Win15%
Draw21%
Arsenal Win64%
BTTS47%
Over 2.551%