Match Analysis

EvertonvsChelsea

ENG Premier League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

40%
25%
35%
Everton winDrawChelsea win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game1.20
1.23Avg goals scored1.65
1.08Avg goals conceded1.30
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)2–0–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.5

Everton xG

Expected goals

1.3

Chelsea xG

57%

Both Teams to Score

53%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

12%

1–0

9%

2–1

9%

0–1

8%

1–2

8%

2–0

7%

Home

Everton

Everton

DWWLL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.2 / 1.1

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Chelsea

Chelsea

LWLLW

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.6 / 1.3

Last 5

2W 0D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Everton vs Chelsea?

Everton is favored with a 40% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Everton's current form?

Everton have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 57%. Over 2.5 goals: 53%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 10 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Everton Win40%
Draw25%
Chelsea Win35%
BTTS57%
Over 2.553%