Match Analysis

EvertonvsLiverpool

ENG Premier League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

37%
27%
36%
Everton winDrawLiverpool win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game1.40
1.24Avg goals scored1.44
1.08Avg goals conceded0.98
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.3

Everton xG

Expected goals

1.3

Liverpool xG

53%

Both Teams to Score

48%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

13%

0–1

10%

1–0

10%

1–2

8%

2–1

8%

0–0

7%

Home

Everton

Everton

DWWLL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.2 / 1.1

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Liverpool

Liverpool

DLLWW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.4 / 1.0

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Everton vs Liverpool?

Everton is favored with a 37% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Everton's current form?

Everton have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 53%. Over 2.5 goals: 48%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 10 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Everton Win37%
Draw27%
Liverpool Win36%
BTTS53%
Over 2.548%