โšก Match Analysis

Fulham vs Chelsea

๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ Premier League ยท Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

44%
25%
31%
Fulham winDrawChelsea win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game0.80
0.70Avg goals scored0.86
0.95Avg goals conceded1.91
2โ€“1โ€“2Record (Wโ€“Dโ€“L)1โ€“1โ€“3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.1

Fulham xG

Expected goals

0.6

Chelsea xG

30%

Both Teams to Score

24%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1โ€“0

20%

0โ€“0

18%

1โ€“1

12%

0โ€“1

11%

2โ€“0

11%

2โ€“1

7%

Home

Fulham

Fulham

WDLLW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

0.7 / 0.9

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Chelsea

Chelsea

LWLDL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

0.9 / 1.9

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Head-to-Head ยท Last 6 meetings

Fulhamall timeChelsea
2W
4W
7 Jan 26
Fulham2โ€“1Chelsea
30 Aug 25
Chelsea2โ€“0Fulham
20 Apr 25
Fulham1โ€“2Chelsea
26 Dec 24
Chelsea1โ€“2Fulham
13 Jan 24
Chelsea1โ€“0Fulham
2 Oct 23
Fulham0โ€“2Chelsea

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Fulham vs Chelsea?

Fulham is favored with a 44% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Fulham's current form?

Fulham have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.1.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 6 Premier League meetings, Fulham won 2, drew 0, and Chelsea won 4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1โ€“0 (20% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 30%. Over 2.5 goals: 24%.

โšก Poisson model ยท attack & defense ratings ยท last 5 matches ยท H2H 6 meetings ยท home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Your Prediction

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Match Odds

Fulham Win44%
Draw25%
Chelsea Win31%
BTTS30%
Over 2.524%

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Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi

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