Fulhamvs
Newcastle United
ENG Premier League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.4
Fulham xG
Expected goals
1.1
Newcastle United xG
50%
Both Teams to Score
46%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–1
13%
1–0
11%
0–1
9%
2–1
9%
0–0
8%
2–0
8%
Model vs Market
Polymarket · $66K volume
Edge = our model minus market price. Not financial advice.
Home
Fulham
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
1.0 / 1.0
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Away
Newcastle United
PPG
0.80
Avg goals
1.1 / 1.5
Last 5
1W 1D 3L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Fulham vs Newcastle United?
Fulham is favored with a 45% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Fulham's current form?
Fulham have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.4.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 50%. Over 2.5 goals: 46%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 10 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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