Match Analysis

Hull CityvsBrighton & Hove Albion

ENG Premier League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

21%
23%
56%
Hull City winDrawBrighton & Hove Albion win

Key Stats

0.60Points per game1.40
1.02Avg goals scored2.30
1.24Avg goals conceded0.55
0–3–2Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1

Hull City xG

Expected goals

1.8

Brighton & Hove Albion xG

53%

Both Teams to Score

53%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–1

11%

1–1

11%

0–2

10%

1–2

10%

0–0

6%

0–3

6%

Model vs Market

Polymarket · $61K volume

LIVE ODDS
Outcome
Our Model
Market
Edge
Hull City
21%
35%
-14%
Draw
23%
—
—
Brighton & Hove Albion
56%
65%
-9%
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Edge = our model minus market price. Not financial advice.

Home

Hull City

Hull City

LDDLD

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.2

Last 5

0W 3D 2L

Away

Brighton & Hove Albion

Brighton & Hove Albion

DWWLL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

2.3 / 0.6

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Hull City vs Brighton & Hove Albion?

Brighton & Hove Albion is favored with a 56% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Hull City's current form?

Hull City have recorded 0W 3D 2L in their last 5 matches (0.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 53%. Over 2.5 goals: 53%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 10 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Hull City Win21%
Draw23%
Brighton & Hove Albion Win56%
BTTS53%
Over 2.553%