โšก Match Analysis

Leeds United vs Brentford

๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ Premier League ยท Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

43%
38%
19%
Leeds United winDrawBrentford win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game1.00
1.51Avg goals scored1.28
1.23Avg goals conceded1.47
2โ€“1โ€“2Record (Wโ€“Dโ€“L)1โ€“2โ€“2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.8

Leeds United xG

Expected goals

1.1

Brentford xG

56%

Both Teams to Score

55%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1โ€“1

11%

1โ€“0

10%

2โ€“1

10%

2โ€“0

9%

0โ€“0

6%

0โ€“1

6%

Home

Leeds United

Leeds United

LWDWL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.5 / 1.2

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Brentford

Brentford

DDLWL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.3 / 1.5

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head ยท Last 2 meetings

Leeds Unitedall timeBrentford
2D
21 Mar 26
Leeds United0โ€“0Brentford
14 Dec 25
Brentford1โ€“1Leeds United

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Leeds United vs Brentford?

Leeds United is favored with a 43% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Leeds United's current form?

Leeds United have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.8.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 2 Premier League meetings, Leeds United won 0, drew 2, and Brentford won 0.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1โ€“1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 56%. Over 2.5 goals: 55%.

โšก Poisson model ยท attack & defense ratings ยท last 5 matches ยท limited H2H (2 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Your Prediction

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Match Odds

Leeds United Win43%
Draw38%
Brentford Win19%
BTTS56%
Over 2.555%

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Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi

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