Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.1
Leeds United xG
Expected goals
0.9
Fulham xG
40%
Both Teams to Score
32%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–0
15%
0–0
14%
1–1
13%
0–1
12%
2–0
8%
2–1
7%
Model vs Market
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Edge = our model minus market price. Not financial advice.
Home
Leeds United
PPG
1.00
Avg goals
0.8 / 0.8
Last 5
1W 2D 2L
Away
Fulham
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
1.0 / 1.0
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Leeds United vs Fulham?
Leeds United is favored with a 39% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Leeds United's current form?
Leeds United have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.1.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (15% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 40%. Over 2.5 goals: 32%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 10 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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