Match Analysis

LiverpoolvsLeeds United

ENG Premier League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

44%
28%
28%
Liverpool winDrawLeeds United win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game1.00
1.44Avg goals scored0.84
0.98Avg goals conceded0.83
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.3

Liverpool xG

Expected goals

0.9

Leeds United xG

43%

Both Teams to Score

38%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–0

14%

1–1

13%

0–0

11%

0–1

10%

2–0

9%

2–1

8%

Home

Liverpool

Liverpool

DLLWW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.4 / 1.0

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Leeds United

Leeds United

WLDDL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

0.8 / 0.8

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Liverpool vs Leeds United?

Liverpool is favored with a 44% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Liverpool's current form?

Liverpool have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (14% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 43%. Over 2.5 goals: 38%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 10 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Liverpool Win44%
Draw28%
Leeds United Win28%
BTTS43%
Over 2.538%