โšก Match Analysis

Liverpool vs Nottingham Forest

๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ Premier League ยท Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

30%
17%
53%
Liverpool winDrawNottingham Forest win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game1.00
1.77Avg goals scored2.27
1.70Avg goals conceded1.23
1โ€“2โ€“2Record (Wโ€“Dโ€“L)1โ€“2โ€“2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.8

Liverpool xG

Expected goals

2.7

Nottingham Forest xG

78%

Both Teams to Score

83%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1โ€“2

7%

1โ€“3

7%

2โ€“2

7%

2โ€“3

6%

1โ€“1

5%

2โ€“1

5%

Home

Liverpool

Liverpool

DLDLW

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.8 / 1.7

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Nottingham Forest

Nottingham Forest

DLDLW

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

2.3 / 1.2

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head ยท Last 6 meetings

Liverpoolall timeNottingham Forest
3W
1D
2W
22 Feb 26
Nottingham Forest0โ€“1Liverpool
22 Nov 25
Liverpool0โ€“3Nottingham Forest
14 Jan 25
Nottingham Forest1โ€“1Liverpool
14 Sep 24
Liverpool0โ€“1Nottingham Forest
2 Mar 24
Nottingham Forest0โ€“1Liverpool
29 Oct 23
Liverpool3โ€“0Nottingham Forest

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Liverpool vs Nottingham Forest?

Nottingham Forest is favored with a 53% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Liverpool's current form?

Liverpool have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.8.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 6 Premier League meetings, Liverpool won 3, drew 1, and Nottingham Forest won 2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1โ€“2 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 78%. Over 2.5 goals: 83%.

โšก Poisson model ยท attack & defense ratings ยท last 5 matches ยท H2H 6 meetings ยท home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Your Prediction

Pick a winner

Leaderboard โ†’

Match Odds

Liverpool Win30%
Draw17%
Nottingham Forest Win53%
BTTS78%
Over 2.583%

Find prediction markets โ†’

Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi

๐Ÿ“Š