Match Analysis

LiverpoolvsSunderland

ENG Premier League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

57%
23%
20%
Liverpool winDrawSunderland win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game1.40
1.44Avg goals scored0.72
0.98Avg goals conceded1.59
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.7

Liverpool xG

Expected goals

0.9

Sunderland xG

49%

Both Teams to Score

48%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–0

13%

1–1

11%

2–0

11%

2–1

10%

0–0

7%

0–1

7%

Home

Liverpool

Liverpool

DLLWW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.4 / 1.0

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Sunderland

Sunderland

WLLWD

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

0.7 / 1.6

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Liverpool vs Sunderland?

Liverpool is favored with a 57% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Liverpool's current form?

Liverpool have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.7.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 49%. Over 2.5 goals: 48%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 10 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Liverpool Win57%
Draw23%
Sunderland Win20%
BTTS49%
Over 2.548%