โšก Match Analysis

Manchester City vs Afc Bournemouth

๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ Premier League ยท Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

49%
24%
27%
Manchester City winDrawAFC Bournemouth win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game1.80
2.05Avg goals scored1.60
0.96Avg goals conceded0.82
3โ€“1โ€“1Record (Wโ€“Dโ€“L)2โ€“3โ€“0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.4

Manchester City xG

Expected goals

1.1

AFC Bournemouth xG

50%

Both Teams to Score

46%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1โ€“1

13%

1โ€“0

11%

0โ€“1

9%

2โ€“1

9%

0โ€“0

8%

2โ€“0

8%

Home

Manchester City

Manchester City

LDWWW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

2.1 / 1.0

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

AFC Bournemouth

AFC Bournemouth

DDWWD

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

1.6 / 0.8

Last 5

2W 3D 0L

Head-to-Head ยท Last 6 meetings

Manchester Cityall timeAfc Bournemouth
4W
1D
1W
19 May 26
AFC Bournemouth1โ€“1Manchester City
2 Nov 25
Manchester City3โ€“1AFC Bournemouth
20 May 25
Manchester City3โ€“1AFC Bournemouth
2 Nov 24
AFC Bournemouth2โ€“1Manchester City
24 Feb 24
AFC Bournemouth0โ€“1Manchester City
4 Nov 23
Manchester City6โ€“1AFC Bournemouth

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Manchester City vs Afc Bournemouth?

Manchester City is favored with a 49% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Manchester City's current form?

Manchester City have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.4.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 6 Premier League meetings, Manchester City won 4, drew 1, and Afc Bournemouth won 1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1โ€“1 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 50%. Over 2.5 goals: 46%.

โšก Poisson model ยท attack & defense ratings ยท last 5 matches ยท H2H 6 meetings ยท home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

Manchester City Win49%
Draw24%
AFC Bournemouth Win27%
BTTS50%
Over 2.546%

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Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi

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