Manchester Unitedvs
AFC Bournemouth
ENG Premier League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.5
Manchester United xG
Expected goals
2
AFC Bournemouth xG
67%
Both Teams to Score
68%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–1
9%
1–2
9%
2–1
7%
2–2
7%
0–1
6%
0–2
6%
Home
Manchester United
PPG
0.80
Avg goals
1.4 / 2.1
Last 5
1W 1D 3L
Away
AFC Bournemouth
PPG
2.60
Avg goals
1.8 / 1.2
Last 5
4W 1D 0L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Manchester United vs AFC Bournemouth?
AFC Bournemouth is favored with a 49% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Manchester United's current form?
Manchester United have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.5.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 67%. Over 2.5 goals: 68%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 10 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
More from Premier League