Match Analysis

Manchester UnitedvsBrentford

ENG Premier League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

33%
23%
44%
Manchester United winDrawBrentford win

Key Stats

0.80Points per game1.00
1.39Avg goals scored1.40
2.11Avg goals conceded1.20
1–1–3Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.5

Manchester United xG

Expected goals

1.8

Brentford xG

65%

Both Teams to Score

64%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

10%

1–2

9%

0–1

7%

2–1

7%

2–2

7%

0–2

6%

Home

Manchester United

Manchester United

DWLLL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.4 / 2.1

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Away

Brentford

Brentford

DWLDL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.4 / 1.2

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Manchester United vs Brentford?

Brentford is favored with a 44% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Manchester United's current form?

Manchester United have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 65%. Over 2.5 goals: 64%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 10 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Manchester United Win33%
Draw23%
Brentford Win44%
BTTS65%
Over 2.564%