Manchester Unitedvs
Coventry City
ENG Premier League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.9
Manchester United xG
Expected goals
1.7
Coventry City xG
70%
Both Teams to Score
70%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–1
9%
1–2
8%
2–1
8%
2–2
7%
0–1
5%
1–0
5%
Model vs Market
Polymarket · $76K volume
Edge = our model minus market price. Not financial advice.
Home
Manchester United
PPG
0.80
Avg goals
1.4 / 2.1
Last 5
1W 1D 3L
Away
Coventry City
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
1.3 / 1.9
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Manchester United vs Coventry City?
Manchester United is favored with a 43% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Manchester United's current form?
Manchester United have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.9.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 70%. Over 2.5 goals: 70%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 10 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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