Manchester United vs Manchester City
๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ Premier League ยท Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.6
Manchester United xG
Expected goals
1.4
Manchester City xG
60%
Both Teams to Score
58%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1โ1
11%
2โ1
9%
1โ0
8%
1โ2
8%
0โ1
7%
2โ0
6%
Home
Manchester United
PPG
2.60
Avg goals
2.0 / 1.0
Last 5
4W 1D 0L
Away
Manchester City
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
2.1 / 1.0
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Head-to-Head ยท Last 6 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Manchester United vs Manchester City?
This is an evenly matched fixture. Both teams have similar win probabilities based on current form.
What is Manchester United's current form?
Manchester United have recorded 4W 1D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.6.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 6 Premier League meetings, Manchester United won 2, drew 1, and Manchester City won 3.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1โ1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 60%. Over 2.5 goals: 58%.
โก Poisson model ยท attack & defense ratings ยท last 5 matches ยท H2H 6 meetings ยท home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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