Match Analysis

Manchester UnitedvsSunderland

ENG Premier League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

47%
24%
29%
Manchester United winDrawSunderland win

Key Stats

0.80Points per game1.40
1.39Avg goals scored0.72
2.11Avg goals conceded1.59
1–1–3Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.7

Manchester United xG

Expected goals

1.3

Sunderland xG

59%

Both Teams to Score

58%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

11%

2–1

9%

1–0

8%

1–2

7%

2–0

7%

0–1

6%

Home

Manchester United

Manchester United

DWLLL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.4 / 2.1

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Away

Sunderland

Sunderland

WLLWD

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

0.7 / 1.6

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Manchester United vs Sunderland?

Manchester United is favored with a 47% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Manchester United's current form?

Manchester United have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.7.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 59%. Over 2.5 goals: 58%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 10 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Manchester United Win47%
Draw24%
Sunderland Win29%
BTTS59%
Over 2.558%