Match Analysis

Nottingham ForestvsArsenal

ENG Premier League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

24%
28%
48%
Nottingham Forest winDrawArsenal win

Key Stats

0.40Points per game2.40
1.01Avg goals scored1.39
1.37Avg goals conceded0.40
0–2–3Record (W–D–L)4–0–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.9

Nottingham Forest xG

Expected goals

1.4

Arsenal xG

45%

Both Teams to Score

40%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–1

14%

1–1

13%

0–0

10%

0–2

10%

1–0

9%

1–2

9%

Home

Nottingham Forest

Nottingham Forest

DLDLL

PPG

0.40

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.4

Last 5

0W 2D 3L

Away

Arsenal

Arsenal

WWWLW

PPG

2.40

Avg goals

1.4 / 0.4

Last 5

4W 0D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal?

Arsenal is favored with a 48% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Nottingham Forest's current form?

Nottingham Forest have recorded 0W 2D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.9.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (14% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 45%. Over 2.5 goals: 40%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 10 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Nottingham Forest Win24%
Draw28%
Arsenal Win48%
BTTS45%
Over 2.540%