Nottingham Forest vs Leeds United
๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ Premier League ยท Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.3
Nottingham Forest xG
Expected goals
1.3
Leeds United xG
65%
Both Teams to Score
70%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2โ1
9%
1โ1
8%
2โ0
7%
3โ1
7%
1โ0
6%
2โ2
6%
Home
Nottingham Forest
PPG
1.00
Avg goals
2.3 / 1.2
Last 5
1W 2D 2L
Away
Leeds United
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
1.5 / 1.2
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Head-to-Head ยท Last 2 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Nottingham Forest vs Leeds United?
Nottingham Forest is favored with a 57% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Nottingham Forest's current form?
Nottingham Forest have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.3.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 2 Premier League meetings, Nottingham Forest won 1, drew 0, and Leeds United won 1.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2โ1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 65%. Over 2.5 goals: 70%.
โก Poisson model ยท attack & defense ratings ยท last 5 matches ยท limited H2H (2 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Your Prediction
Pick a winner
Match Odds
Find prediction markets โ
Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi
More from Premier League