Match Analysis

SunderlandvsLeeds United

ENG Premier League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

29%
29%
42%
Sunderland winDrawLeeds United win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game1.00
0.72Avg goals scored0.84
1.59Avg goals conceded0.83
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1

Sunderland xG

Expected goals

1.2

Leeds United xG

44%

Both Teams to Score

38%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–1

13%

1–1

13%

0–0

11%

1–0

11%

0–2

8%

1–2

8%

Home

Sunderland

Sunderland

WLLWD

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

0.7 / 1.6

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Leeds United

Leeds United

WLDDL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

0.8 / 0.8

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Sunderland vs Leeds United?

Leeds United is favored with a 42% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Sunderland's current form?

Sunderland have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 44%. Over 2.5 goals: 38%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 10 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Sunderland Win29%
Draw29%
Leeds United Win42%
BTTS44%
Over 2.538%