Match Analysis

SunderlandvsLiverpool

ENG Premier League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

26%
26%
48%
Sunderland winDrawLiverpool win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game1.40
0.72Avg goals scored1.43
1.59Avg goals conceded0.98
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1

Sunderland xG

Expected goals

1.5

Liverpool xG

49%

Both Teams to Score

46%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–1

12%

1–1

12%

0–2

9%

1–2

9%

0–0

8%

1–0

8%

Home

Sunderland

Sunderland

WLLWD

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

0.7 / 1.6

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Liverpool

Liverpool

DLLWW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.4 / 1.0

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Sunderland vs Liverpool?

Liverpool is favored with a 48% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Sunderland's current form?

Sunderland have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 49%. Over 2.5 goals: 46%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 10 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Sunderland Win26%
Draw26%
Liverpool Win48%
BTTS49%
Over 2.546%