Match Analysis

Tottenham HotspurvsArsenal

ENG Premier League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

31%
30%
39%
Tottenham Hotspur winDrawArsenal win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game2.40
1.21Avg goals scored1.39
0.88Avg goals conceded0.40
3–1–1Record (W–D–L)4–0–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1

Tottenham Hotspur xG

Expected goals

1.1

Arsenal xG

42%

Both Teams to Score

35%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–1

13%

1–1

13%

0–0

12%

1–0

12%

0–2

7%

1–2

7%

Home

Tottenham Hotspur

Tottenham Hotspur

LWWWD

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.2 / 0.9

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

Arsenal

Arsenal

WWWLW

PPG

2.40

Avg goals

1.4 / 0.4

Last 5

4W 0D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Tottenham Hotspur vs Arsenal?

Arsenal is favored with a 39% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Tottenham Hotspur's current form?

Tottenham Hotspur have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 42%. Over 2.5 goals: 35%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 10 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Tottenham Hotspur Win31%
Draw30%
Arsenal Win39%
BTTS42%
Over 2.535%