Match Analysis

AbhavsAl Ittihad

KSA Saudi Pro League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

20%
23%
57%
Abha winDrawAl Ittihad win

Key Stats

0.40Points per game2.00
0.57Avg goals scored2.03
1.58Avg goals conceded1.03
0–2–3Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1

Abha xG

Expected goals

1.8

Al Ittihad xG

53%

Both Teams to Score

53%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–1

11%

1–1

11%

0–2

10%

1–2

10%

0–0

6%

0–3

6%

Home

Abha

Abha

DLLLD

PPG

0.40

Avg goals

0.6 / 1.6

Last 5

0W 2D 3L

Away

Al Ittihad

Al Ittihad

LDWWW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

2.0 / 1.0

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Abha vs Al Ittihad?

Al Ittihad is favored with a 57% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Abha's current form?

Abha have recorded 0W 2D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 53%. Over 2.5 goals: 53%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 11 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Abha Win20%
Draw23%
Al Ittihad Win57%
BTTS53%
Over 2.553%